Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.000075 0.000078 0.000082 0.000086 0.000091 0.000095 0.000101
2025-02-09 0.000070 0.000075 0.000081 0.000088 0.000095 0.000104 0.000114
2025-02-16 0.000067 0.000073 0.000080 0.000089 0.000099 0.000111 0.000126
2025-02-23 0.000066 0.000074 0.000083 0.000093 0.000106 0.000122 0.000143
2025-03-02 0.000062 0.000070 0.000079 0.000091 0.000105 0.000123 0.000147
2025-03-09 0.000059 0.000067 0.000076 0.000088 0.000103 0.000122 0.000149
2025-03-16 0.000057 0.000065 0.000075 0.000088 0.000104 0.000126 0.000157
2025-03-23 0.000056 0.000065 0.000075 0.000089 0.000108 0.000132 0.000169
2025-03-30 0.000054 0.000063 0.000073 0.000088 0.000107 0.000134 0.000174
2025-04-06 0.000051 0.000060 0.000070 0.000085 0.000104 0.000131 0.000173
2025-04-13 0.000049 0.000057 0.000067 0.000081 0.000100 0.000126 0.000169
2025-04-20 0.000046 0.000054 0.000064 0.000078 0.000096 0.000122 0.000165
2025-04-27 0.000045 0.000053 0.000064 0.000078 0.000098 0.000127 0.000175
2025-05-04 0.000045 0.000053 0.000064 0.000079 0.000101 0.000134 0.000190
2025-05-11 0.000044 0.000053 0.000064 0.000080 0.000104 0.000141 0.000206
2025-05-18 0.000045 0.000054 0.000066 0.000084 0.000111 0.000154 0.000237
2025-05-25 0.000043 0.000052 0.000064 0.000082 0.000109 0.000153 0.000239
2025-06-01 0.000041 0.000050 0.000062 0.000079 0.000107 0.000151 0.000239
2025-06-08 0.000040 0.000049 0.000061 0.000079 0.000107 0.000154 0.000250
2025-06-15 0.000040 0.000049 0.000062 0.000080 0.000111 0.000162 0.000273
2025-06-22 0.000039 0.000048 0.000060 0.000079 0.000110 0.000163 0.000281
2025-06-29 0.000038 0.000046 0.000058 0.000077 0.000107 0.000159 0.000275
2025-07-06 0.000036 0.000044 0.000056 0.000073 0.000102 0.000152 0.000264